Trump threatens bigger strikes as Iran rejects ceasefire and hits neighbors

Iran Peace Deal Analysis for July 25, 2026

The war is accelerating. Over the last 24 hours, the US conducted its 13th consecutive night of strikes on Iran. Trump threatened even larger attacks on Iranian infrastructure. Iran launched fresh strikes against neighbors and rejected reports of any new US peace deal. Secretary of State Marco Rubio said he doubts a lasting agreement with Iran is even possible.

The ceasefire memorandum signed in mid-June is dead. Iran closed the Strait of Hormuz and threatened to weaponize the Red Sea as a second chokepoint. Oil spiked above $100 a barrel. Both sides are now openly talking about hitting civilian targets. Germany pulled naval ships away from the region because the mission is too dangerous. Oman is still trying to mediate, but Tehran and Washington are not listening.

Trump keeps saying a deal is close. His own secretary of state is openly skeptical. Iran is focused on regional conflict with Israel and Hezbollah, not on negotiations with the US. The last two weeks show a pattern of strikes, threats, and more strikes with no genuine pause.